Why Infosys is in Focus Again?
Infosys, India’s second-largest IT services giant, has once again turned heads with the announcement that its Board will meet on September 11, 2025 to discuss a possible share buyback program.
The news alone pushed the Infosys share price up nearly 5% to ₹1,505 on NSE (September 9). Investors and analysts are buzzing with predictions on the buyback price and the potential gains for shareholders.
📊 Infosys Buyback History: Setting the Benchmark
Infosys has a track record of rewarding shareholders with consistent buybacks:
| Year | Buyback Size | Buyback Price (₹) | Mode | Premium Over Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | ₹13,000 Cr | 1,150 | Tender Offer | ~20% |
| 2019 | ₹8,260 Cr | 800 | Open Market | ~15% |
| 2021 | ₹9,200 Cr | 1,750 | Open Market | ~22% |
| 2022 | ₹9,300 Cr | 1,850 | Open Market | ~25% |
| 2023 | ₹9,300 Cr | 1,850 | Open Market | ~25% |
👉 Pattern is clear: Infosys consistently offers a 20–25% premium over prevailing prices, and buyback sizes hover around ₹9,000–₹13,000 crore.
💰 Infosys Buyback 2025: Expected Price Range
- Current Market Price: ₹1,500
- Likely Buyback Premium: 20–25%
- Expected Buyback Price: ₹1,850–₹1,900
Given the past two buybacks were fixed at ₹1,850, there’s a strong chance Infosys will stick close to this level again.
📈 How Much Can Investors Earn?
Here’s a realistic profit simulation for retail investors (holding less than ₹2 lakh worth of shares, who typically get a higher acceptance ratio ~25%):
| Shares Held | Investment @ ₹1,500 | Accepted @ 25% | Profit @ ₹1,850 | Profit @ ₹1,900 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Shares | ₹1,50,000 | 25 shares | ₹8,750 | ₹10,000 |
| 500 Shares | ₹7,50,000 | 125 shares | ₹43,750 | ₹50,000 |
| 1000 Shares | ₹15,00,000 | 250 shares | ₹87,500 | ₹1,00,000 |
✅ Even with 100 shares, an investor could pocket nearly ₹10,000 extra in just weeks, plus retain the remaining shares for future upside.
🔮 Market Impact of Infosys Buyback
- Positive Sentiment for IT Stocks – Buyback news has already lifted Infosys by 5%, and peers like TCS, Wipro, and HCL Tech also saw positive momentum.
- EPS & Shareholder Value Boost – Buybacks reduce share count, increasing earnings per share (EPS).
- Cash-Rich Balance Sheet – Infosys sits on ~$5.3 billion net cash, enabling consistent shareholder rewards.
- Analyst View – JPMorgan has given an Overweight rating with a target price of ₹1,900, aligning with expected buyback levels.
📌 What Investors Should Watch
- Board Meeting (Sep 11, 2025) – Crucial to confirm buyback size, mode (tender offer vs open market), and record date.
- Acceptance Ratio – Retail investors typically get higher allocation compared to large shareholders.
- IT Sector Trends – Global tech spending, rupee-dollar movement, and U.S. recession fears may impact Infosys’s long-term performance.
🏆 Final Take
Infosys Buyback 2025 is shaping up to be another wealth-creating opportunity for investors. With a possible ₹1,850–₹1,900 buyback price, the program offers 20–25% gains over current levels.
Retail investors stand to benefit the most, with quick arbitrage profits and the safety of holding a fundamentally strong IT stock.
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by Mirae Asset (m,Stock)
