Nifty Bank Technical Report – 10 July 2025

Indian Market 10 July 2025

Crucial Breakdown Below Trendline Raises Bearish Concerns

📈 Market Snapshot

  • Index: Nifty Bank (15-Min Chart – NSE)

  • Current Price: ₹56,956.95

  • Change: +44.60 points (+0.08%)

  • High/Low: ₹57,200.15 / ₹57,098.55


🧭 Chart Overview & Key Observations

The Nifty Bank has shown signs of weakness after a short-term recovery. The index recently broke a rising support trendline and is now hovering around a crucial demand zone marked in green. The failure to sustain above ₹57,000 has increased the probability of a downside move toward the next support area.

📉 Breakdown of Key Technical Elements:


🔴 Resistance Zones:

  1. ₹57,300 – ₹57,400 Zone:

    • The price was repeatedly rejected from this level over the last few sessions.

    • Strong selling pressure has emerged here, making it a critical supply area.

  2. ₹57,600 – ₹57,700 Zone:

    • Historical highs in this range.

    • Double top formation can be noticed here, further confirming selling interest.


Nifty Bank
Nifty Bank

🟢 Support Zones:

  1. ₹56,850 – ₹56,900 Zone:

    • The current price is hovering right above this demand area.

    • Price has taken multiple supports in this region historically.

  2. ₹56,650 – ₹56,700 Zone:

    • Next strong support if ₹56,850 is breached.

    • Buyers may try to defend this level to maintain short-term bullishness.

  3. ₹56,450 – ₹56,550 Zone:

    • Previous swing low.

    • Any fall below this will confirm a full short-term trend reversal.


📉 Trendline Breakdown Alert

  • A significant rising blue trendline was supporting the index for the last few trading sessions.

  • The breakdown below this trendline on 10th July suggests weakening momentum.

  • Traders may interpret this as a potential bearish signal in the short term.


🔄 Volume & Price Structure

Although volume data isn’t provided on the chart, the price action itself reveals that:

  • A lower high – lower low structure is emerging.

  • After the sharp rally on 26–27 June, Nifty Bank has been struggling to cross its resistance and shows signs of exhaustion.

  • Price tested the ₹57,300 resistance thrice but failed to close above it.


🧮 Candle Pattern Analysis

  • Multiple small-bodied candles with long wicks near the resistance zone imply indecision and seller dominance.

  • Recent bearish candles post-trendline breakdown validate the short-term weakness.


🔎 Scenario-Based Strategy for Traders

Bullish Scenario (Recovery)

If the index takes support at ₹56,850–56,900 zone and reclaims ₹57,100:

  • Possible targets: ₹57,300 / ₹57,400

  • Sustained breakout above ₹57,400 will trigger a rally towards ₹57,700.

Bearish Scenario (Breakdown)

If ₹56,850 is broken decisively:

  • Immediate downside target: ₹56,675

  • Further breakdown may push the index toward ₹56,500 – ₹56,450 levels.


📊 Market Sentiment & Momentum Indicators (Hypothetical Insights)

Assuming RSI and MACD for further analysis:

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Likely near the neutral 50 level, but sloping downwards indicating weakening strength.

  • MACD: Possibly showing bearish crossover given the downward momentum post-trendline break.


💡 Trading Psychology Insight

Nifty Bank traders are likely experiencing a conflicted sentiment:

  • On one side, hopes of bounce from strong support.

  • On the other, fear due to multiple failed breakouts and trendline breakdown.

This calls for cautious positioning. Avoid aggressive longs unless price gives confirmation through candle formations and volume.


📅 Outlook for 11 July 2025

Considering the current price action:

  • Bias: Moderately Bearish

  • Crucial Levels to Watch:

    • Resistance: ₹57,100 / ₹57,300 / ₹57,600

    • Support: ₹56,850 / ₹56,675 / ₹56,500

  • Volatility is expected to rise near the support zones.


🧠 Trader’s Insight Quote of the Day

“Support and resistance are not just lines—they are zones of war between bulls and bears. Watch how the battle unfolds.”


Note: This is the Testing Real data may be differ for above

Stock Market Disclaimer

 

Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any stock or share. Investing in the stock market involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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